Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Brewers Cardinals Series Analysis

Note: Derrick Turnbow pitches his first AAA game last night and walked three while giving up a hit and two runs in two thirds of an inning. Not what he had hoped I'm sure. On with the analysis.

Score Recap:

May 9th: Milwaukee 4 St. Louis 3
May 10th: Milwaukee 3 St. Louis 5
May 11th: Milwaukee 5 St. Louis 3
May 12th: Milwaukee 8 St. Louis 3

MVPs of the Series:
Ryan Braun: 9/16; 4 HRs, 2 2Bs, BB, 6 Rs, 0 Ks
Albert Pujols: 4/9; HR, 4 BBs, R, RBI

Braun was flat out on fire this series. I'm mostly impressed by the zero strikeouts in 17 PAs, which is beyond a rarity for Braun, but most people should be impressed with the four homeruns in just six ABs, which is an impressive feat. Interestingly, all four of those homeruns were solo shots which is a bit frustrating, but not something worth complaining about.

It was a bit difficult to pick the MVP for the Cardinals because they are pretty dead set on a team performance. I wanted to give it to Ludwick who had the game winning hit on Saturday, but I can't reduce myself to giving the guy props when he had more strikeouts than total bases. Ultimately, Pujols was on base at a .615 clip, which is ridiculous and worth noting.

What was the Difference?:
It turns out that after looking at the numbers, the Cardinals should have won this series, but in the end, it was starting pitching and defense that gave the Brewers the edge. The Cardinals amassed more hits and walked several more times, but the Brewers would turn five pivotal double plays in the series and commit only one error, while the Cards would turn only two and commit five errors, resulting in four unearned runs.

With the exception of Monday's game where Wainwright struggled mightily, the Brewers and Cardinals starting pitching was impressive. But the Brewers starters would out-duel the Cards, giving up 8 runs in 25 innings, while the Cards starters gave up 8 in 18.1 innings sans Wainwright.

Causes for Concern:
Both teams obviously have to be concerned with the back end of the bullpen, but the Cardinals should be a little more concerned. The Brewers have more than capable arms with Torres, Mota and Riske hiding out there, but with the exception of Ryan Franklin, the Cards don't have anyone with the the experience or mental stability to close. Even then, Ryan Franklin may be a little sketchy in that role considering he's spent so much time in the set-up role. Sometimes they aren't mentally prepared to close. Perhaps Randy Flores could pull it off, as he has the stuff, but you never know. The Brewers will likely stick to closer by committee for some time, but that's not always good. In the end, they'll have to rely on Yost to handle the matchups, and that could be a big problem.

On other fronts, the Cards should have some worries about their defense, which led to their demise this series. If their pitching continues to be solid, they could be in great shape if they get clean up the defense. The Brewers need to continue to work on their discipline at the plate. The Cardinals put on a show again, walking 22 times in four games, but the Brewers didn't follow suit, walking 11 times. Interestingly, many of those runs scored. Maybe they should pay attention to those things, especially in game three when they walked and HBP'd the first two ABs and they both came around to score.

Causes for Excitement:
Ryan Ludwick is actually turning into an every day player, but he'll have to cut his strike out numbers if he plans on sticking around as such. Other than that, the Cards should continue to be excited about their starting pitching. Wainwright is allowed a blow up start once and a while, but Wellenmeyer, Looper and Piniero all pitched extremely well. This rotation could carry the team if they have everything figured out.

For the Brewers, there's plenty to be excited about considering the rebound from a 6-game losing streak. Ryan Braun has found his stroke and the starting pitching was solid all of the way through. With the Cubs winning four straight, the Brewers will need to keep this up if they plan on making a run at the division. Additionally, the bullpen continues to impress, despite Eric Gagne. Stetter had some troubles this weekend, but other than that, everyone has been impressive, refusing to give up a lead the entire series.

1 comment:

steve said...

Aaron...I'd be interested to hear your take on Yost's recent comments. Yost cracks me up like I sit here laughing out loud while he stands there at the dugout entrance with his folded arms, grimace and treating like the media like his bitch. He's got the whole league flipping in confusion. And he pawns himself off as some James Bond secret magician...Only Yost knows how to fix Gagne and he ain't telling nobody...Ha ha.

I sit and marvel at the guy. He drives me nuts, but then he comes out with this prediction that the Brewer bats are entering a hot streak and then BOOM....it happens....and now he predicts Fielder is ready to bust out like Braun...The guy is tuned into his hitters..And we're heaing to Boston....gets me dreaming of a 27 runs in three games.....but I'm a manic depressive....Interested to hear your insights about Yostisms...no manager cracks me up like Yost...I can't tell if he is pretending to be a hard ass or he really is...either way, he is far from boring and saying the cliche.

Oh yeh..and one more thing I was hoping to hear about from you..I'm not a big fan of the veteran player effect and or the good clubhouse guy...I don't care about all that...To me, it's like clutch hitting..maybe-maybe not....But, what I do like is a character or a couple of characters that do insane things....like Joba being all animated and excited on the field and pissing off Goose Gossage....or the entire Nationals Team cheering like a Pony League team and pissing off the crybaby Nelson Figuerora..I'm not talking about ways to help the team win..I'm just talking about characters and personality making the Brewers more interesting...
I love the Brewers more than any team ever....always have...which is no surprise because I Lived in Milwaukee for the first 30 years of my life....We are too darn nice...too darn shy and humble....Only Fielder has caused a little stir with Madd Kapps last year and only Yost when he spars with an umpire...Yost is one of the best debaters...His mouth moves non stop for 5 minutes sometimes...Incredible....and then maybe Brian Anderson who recently has hit a good groove...soem nice homerun calls and some quirky stuff about Dodgers infielder Huu as in Who...So that's Fielder a little, Yost, and a rising Anderson as the only hell raisers in their own way...
Sorry to be so long...and sorry to be desiring more of a circus at Miller Park...but it's too damn quiet at home some time....Weeks, Hall, Hardy, Hart are all boys a mother would love....at least Hart looks like Geico man....but don't ya think we could use some touble makers? Looking forward to your opinion and your wonderful predictions!