Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Where do the Brewers go in the Draft?

The Brewers hold the 16th draft pick in Thursday's First-Year Player Draft, and there are speculations flying all over the internet. Why? Mostly because the FYPD is the most unpredictable draft, but I would also suggest that everyone is trying to find out where their organization is going. For the first time in a long time the Brewers have the opportunity to have a big impact in the first two rounds of the draft. In the past they were limited to a couple of picks, but this year, with the losses of free agents like Francisco Cordero and Scott Linebrink, the Brewers have accumulated six picks in the first 62 selections. What should they do?

I'm not particularly familiar with the prospects that are out there, except for what I've read at BrewerFan and Baseball America, but I do know there are some glaring holes in our system that could use some assurance. First of all, the pitching depth is atrocious. If you look at the numbers of Nashville and Brevard County pitchers, there's a lot to be desired, specifically on the starters front. With the exception of guys like Jeremy Jeffress and maybe Lindsay Gulin, there isn't a prospect at any level that has shown legitimate promise and should be considered for a call-up. As a result, Jack Zduriencik needs to seriously consider finding a legitimate starter out of college, not high school. The Brewers already made that mistake twice with Mike Jones and Jeremy Jeffress. Conceivably a guy out of college can be groomed within three years and tossed out on the mound. I would even be ok with two legitimate starters with those first six.

But that's only two picks. Jack's got four more to work with. At some point you just go with the best player on the board, ala Ted Thompson, and you have to consider signability as well. All things withstanding, Jack will have to work on suring up the 2B spot in the minors with either a college or high school player. The current situation is pretty bleak, with Callix Crabbe, Brent Brewer and Mike Bell not showing a terrible amount of promise. Jemile Weeks, Rickie's brother, will not be available at 16, but if he was, I'd pick him up in a heartbeat considering his speed and glove project him as a leadoff hitter and he would be only three years away from the bigs. Not sure who else is available, but the position needs to be filled.

Beyond that, I'd really have to consider finding a solid left handed pitcher. Zach Jackson has officially proven his worth, or lack there of. He's shown incredible improvement and the move to relief has been a positive one, but he just hasn't been able to pull it all the way together and is on the change of scenery track. With the trades of Dana Eveland and Joe Thatcher, the Brewers have zero major league ready lefties with the exception, maybe, of Chris Narveson, who is struggling in Nashville. Again, I would stick to the college ranks if at all possible because the high school experiment that Jack has done over the last few years has not paid off and there is no way to determine the potential injury risk of high school ball players.

But there is one position I would have no problem with the Brewers going high school, and that's third base. With Gamel likely getting a call up around the trade deadline and the imminent trade of Bill Hall, the Brewers have to develop some more hot corner prospects just in case Gamel's defense completely falters. I doubt Gamel is a fake. Everything I've read and heard, the kid is legit at the plate and the improvement is real as well. As a result, you can afford to delve into the talent of the high school ranks and work on his development in a system that has really proved its worth.

When push comes to shove, this is the MLB draft and there's not a person out there who can predict the first two rounds because it's such a mental thing for GMs and scouts. They have to ask if he's signable, if he's injury prone, if his mechanics will lead to bigger problems, if he faltered as the season progressed, if he controls three or four pitches and so on and son on. In the end, the positions that we need to sure up may or may not make sense at that pick considering the class of prospects coming in. The most important holes are at second and starting pitching. Anything beyond that, I'll trust Jack.

4 comments:

steve said...

Man oh man..I just typed out a response to your article and it erased...Anyway, all I was saying is that I liked your insights into Brewer needs...I would love to see Weeks there at #16...great for the organization to have brothers. Brewers must have a great reputation around the league as a team that cares about its players. I think of Doug Davis being sent to Arizona in part because he lives there and then you hear Cooper's comments about his stay in Milwaukee which if I rememer correctly ended on a bit of a sour note.

Anyway, I think Melvin is from Canada and naturally very active in Canadian scouting. Last year we drafted 3 or 4 players from up north if I remember correctly. One of them, Mehdi Djebbar...a small lefty just signed with an independnt league team in London, Ontario. I think it makes sense to find some infield help up in Canada and look at American Universities for immediate pitchers...like you said, a University starter has 4 years of real experience under his belt against good competition and a schedule more reflective of a major league schedule than a high school schedule.
There is a pitcher who throws with both hands and uses a customized glove....I think he pitches in teh Missouri Valley conference. He is more than a gimmick. Apparently, he is the real deal and someone who stands a chance to revolutionize an alredy specialized pitching world. I would love the Brewers to take him, but I suspect Tony Larussa will eventually get his hands on him.

steve said...

The ambidextreos or whatever pitcher is Pat Vindette...pitches for Creighton...You tube vido of him if you never seen it..
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8U2xkHOTvvw

steve said...

I'm bored today so I looked up Vindette's stats....Yep, he's a senior. He finished the year with 86 innings....allowed 65 hits, 9 homeruns.....struck out 101 and walked 21......opponents batting average .207.
And where it lists Bats/Throws...it says B/B. I guess that means both/both.
He will definitelly be drafted with those kind of numbers at a Missouri Valley School....and whoever drafts him is gonna promote the hot air ballon out of him....

steve said...

Yankees drafted him in 2007, but I don't know if they signed him. I guess not since he returned to Creighton to graduate.